Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000110 0.000121 0.000133 0.000147 0.000162 0.000178 0.000197
2026-01-25 0.000087 0.000103 0.000121 0.000144 0.000171 0.000204 0.000244
2026-02-01 0.000074 0.000092 0.000115 0.000144 0.000182 0.000229 0.000292
2026-02-08 0.000064 0.000083 0.000108 0.000141 0.000187 0.000247 0.000333
2026-02-15 0.000056 0.000075 0.000101 0.000138 0.000190 0.000262 0.000369
2026-02-22 0.000051 0.000071 0.000099 0.000139 0.000199 0.000285 0.000419
2026-03-01 0.000048 0.000068 0.000097 0.000142 0.000210 0.000311 0.000475
2026-03-08 0.000043 0.000063 0.000092 0.000139 0.000211 0.000322 0.000511
2026-03-15 0.000039 0.000058 0.000087 0.000134 0.000209 0.000329 0.000539
2026-03-22 0.000037 0.000056 0.000086 0.000135 0.000217 0.000352 0.000594
2026-03-29 0.000035 0.000054 0.000085 0.000137 0.000226 0.000375 0.000655
2026-04-05 0.000032 0.000051 0.000081 0.000135 0.000227 0.000388 0.000697
2026-04-12 0.000030 0.000049 0.000080 0.000135 0.000234 0.000410 0.000761
2026-04-19 0.000028 0.000046 0.000077 0.000133 0.000236 0.000425 0.000814
2026-04-26 0.000026 0.000044 0.000075 0.000133 0.000242 0.000448 0.000884
2026-05-03 0.000024 0.000042 0.000072 0.000131 0.000244 0.000462 0.000938
2026-05-10 0.000023 0.000040 0.000069 0.000128 0.000243 0.000472 0.000986
2026-05-17 0.000022 0.000038 0.000069 0.000129 0.000251 0.000499 0.001075
2026-05-24 0.000021 0.000038 0.000068 0.000131 0.000261 0.000533 0.001183
2026-05-31 0.000019 0.000036 0.000066 0.000128 0.000260 0.000542 0.001234
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000033 0.000062 0.000124 0.000256 0.000544 0.001269
2026-06-14 0.000017 0.000033 0.000062 0.000125 0.000264 0.000574 0.001374
2026-06-21 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000126 0.000272 0.000606 0.001491